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Time Series Analysis on the Treatment of Some Common Diseases

Download complete project materials on Time Series Analysis on the Treatment of Some Common Diseases from chapter one to five with abstract and references

ABSTRACT

This study out to establish the current trend of most common ill-health among the students of kwara state polytechnic Ilorin as well as the student patronize the medical centre within a define time frame. the least square approach were employed which revealed the present of trend and season effect on the data basically to be able to forecast for the subsequent years

TABLE OF CONTENT

Title page

Certification

Dedication

Acknowledgement

Abstract

Table of content

CHAPTER ONE

introduction 1

1.1    Hint on the polytechnic medical centre  

1.2    Aims and study objectives

1.3    Source of data

1.4    limitation of the study

1.5    Definition of some terms

CHAPTER TWO

2.0    literature review

CHAPTER THREE

3.0    methodology/ presentation of data

3.1    Methodology

3.2    index estimation

3.3    forecast elements

CHAPTER FOUR

4.0    Analysis of data

4.1    Estimation of the parameters

4.2    Quarterly Presentation of data

4.3    Yearly and monthly presentation of data

4.4    Forecast for the two subsequent

Years using regression model

CHAPTER FIVE 

5.0    Summary of findings

5.1    Conclusion

5.2    Recommendation

Reference

CHAPTER ONE

INTRODUCTION

This project is concerned with the health problem that are common among the student particularly, affecting the student of kwara state polytechnic Ilorin. Hence there is need to define health.

Health is a state of optimal physical, manta and social well being and not mainly the absence of disease and infirmly. it is a condition in which the function of the body are duly discharged.

The state of health is much more then freedom from disease. To live a good state of health, one must avoid dirty environment and take to well hygienically prepared food and water which are germ and bacteria free.

1.2 AIMS AND STUDY OBJECTIVE

The study is emphasized the importance of setting cp medical centre in the campus. It showed the picture of medical patient attendance in the clinic in a given period of time. It analyzed the trend of fluctuation in the number of patient’s attendance in the clinic at every season.

The study is designed to give a clear picture of the problem encountered by the patient, clinic and probably solution with progress so far since its establishment.

1.3   SOURCES OF DATA

The data used in this project (study) is mainly collected from the clinic record office of Kwara state polytechnic consists of all the daily attendance of the patients in the clinic between January to December 2008to 2012.

1.4   LIMITATION OF THE STUDY.

The intent ion of the study was to cover up to nothing less than (10) years duration in order to available one. Because keeping of a record of patients that called which implies that there is no separated statistics for the patients that called.

There, need to write a letter of request and take some other processes to ensure the data needed was released.

1.6 DEFINATION OF SOME TERMS.

* MALARIA – is a mosquito-borne infection disease of human and other animals caused by protests (a type of micro organism) of the genus plasmodium. It begins with introduce the protest through saliva in to the circulatory system in the produce. malaria cause symptoms that typical individual fever and headache which in severe case can progress to coma or death malaria is a parasitic infection that most causative organism is plasmodium falciparum  which is carried by mosquitoes. It is also characterized by chills fever and sweating occurring at interval which depends on the time require for development of a new generation of parasite in the body.

* BODY PAIN is an unpleasant feeling often caused by intense or damage stimuli such as stubbing a toe burring a finger, putting alcohol on a cut and bumping the “funny bone” and. it can also be define as an unpleasant sensory and emotion experience association with actual or potential tissue damage or described in term of such damage. This is an actual modifiable infection sickness of the topic cause by a view through suffering of mind or body and cause be transmitted by a mosquito.

*DIARRHEA- it means an increase frequency or decrease constancy of bowel movement. Diarrhea is also classified by physicians into acute which last one or two week and chronic which continue for longer than 2 or 3 weeks viral and bacterial infection are the most common causes of acute diarrhea. This from the chief symptom of several diseases it is the looseness of the bowel l.e too frequent and too watery emoting of bowel.

* DYSENTARY- dysentery broadly refers to gastrointestinal disorder characterized by inflammation of the intestines, chiefly the colon. it also present in  loose, watery stools. Also called bloody fox it is an infection disease especially of the colon and attended by pain abdomens Tenesmos and frequent stool containing blood and mucus. The causative agents re bacteria agents are bacteria, protozoa or parasitic worm.

* COUGH: a cough is a free full release of air from the lungs that lungs that can be heard. Coughing protects the respiratory system by clearing it of irritants and secretion.

* COLD: – It means having a low or inadequate temperature active or feeling a sensation of coldness or having been made cold. A mild viral infection involving the nose and respiratory passages.

 

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